The Altcoin Season Index has climbed to 55 in early January 2026, reaching its highest stage in round three months.
Whereas this doesn’t but sign a full altseason, analysts recommend that momentum is constructing, probably setting the stage for a broader altcoin rally.
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Altcoin Season Index Surges to three Month Excessive
The Altcoin Season Index measures intervals when various cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin. Particularly, it considers an altcoin season to happen when at the least 75% of the highest 50 non-stablecoin cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin over a 90-day window.
The present studying of 55 factors suggests rising altcoin energy. But, it falls wanting confirming an official altcoin season.
Altcoin Season Index. Supply: Blockchaincenter.web
That stated, market watchers are mentioning key alerts that assist the opportunity of an upcoming altcoin season. In a current publish, an analyst stated the OTHERS/BTC index has bottomed and is now displaying indicators of a breakout. Based on the analyst, related circumstances in previous cycles preceded main altcoin rallies.
Simon Dedic, founding father of Moonrock Capital, famous that the altcoin market is at present behaving precisely as anticipated. He added that momentum is prone to intensify towards the top of Q1 and into mid-Q2, probably setting the stage for a broader breakout and accelerated value motion.
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“The liquidity and business cycles aligning will only accelerate this. 2026 will be the return of altseason,” Dedic stated.
Beforehand, BeInCrypto additionally highlighted three key alerts that might level to a possible altcoin season in 2026. This included bullish divergences forming on weekly altcoin charts, a doable breakout in altcoin dominance exterior the highest 10 cryptocurrencies, and excessive altcoin buying and selling volumes regardless of weak costs.
Joao Wedson, Founder and CEO of Alphractal, supplied a unique perspective, specializing in the mechanics of capital circulate. His evaluation suggests mini altcoin seasons come up about each 48 hours, with swings between Bitcoin and altcoin efficiency each 12 hours.
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“In other words, sometimes BTC moves first, and only afterward do altcoins follow. This rotation is exactly how market makers are able to accumulate assets efficiently — rotating capital from BTC to Altcoins and back again,” Wedson defined.
Altcoin Season Hypothesis Fuels Dialogue Round Main Narratives
As expectations of an altcoin season persist, consideration is more and more shifting towards which sectors might take the lead if it unfolds. Based on Kate Miller, meme cash might produce a few of the largest particular person winners within the subsequent altcoin season, though solely a small quantity are anticipated to ship outsized good points.
“Meme coins will make millionaires in the next Altcoin Season. But only a few of them will do more than a 100X,” she posted.
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To date in 2026, meme cash have usually carried out nicely, according to the broader market’s early rise. Regardless of a current pullback, the sector stays in constructive territory, with most high tokens posting good points over the previous week.
However, knowledge from Artemis Analytics exhibits synthetic intelligence tokens are main amongst altcoins. The AI sector has emerged as one of many strongest performers thus far this yr, posting a year-to-date achieve of 20.9% in weighted common totally diluted market capitalization. This locations AI among the many top-performing crypto sectors, trailing solely the Bitcoin ecosystem.
Lastly, BeInCrypto’s evaluation recognized decentralized alternate (DEX) tokens as one of many strongest candidates to emerge as early leaders within the subsequent altcoin season. DEXs are displaying rising adoption, with their share of spot and perpetual buying and selling volumes growing relative to centralized exchanges.
On the identical time, giant buyers have been accumulating main DEX tokens during times of value weak point, signaling early positioning. Moreover, a number of main DEX tokens are starting to commerce extra independently from Bitcoin.
