Actual-world asset tokens have continued to bleed by means of February 2026, with a number of main RWA tokens to observe sitting over 80% beneath their latest highs. The sell-off has been broad and unforgiving.
However heading into March, technical reversal indicators are starting to kind throughout a number of charts, supported by declining change inflows and regular ETF demand. Listed here are 3 tokenized asset initiatives the place the setup is beginning to shift.
Stellar (XLM)
Stellar’s real-world asset footprint is rising at the same time as its token struggles. Information from RWA.xyz reveals the community’s distributed asset worth has climbed to $1.27 billion, up 25% over the previous 30 days. On the institutional aspect, CME Group launched Stellar futures on February 9, 2026. Each customary and micro-sized contracts are actually stay, giving establishments a regulated on-ramp to XLM for the primary time.
Regardless of that, the XLM value stays beneath strain. Stellar is down roughly 40% over the previous three months and trades close to $0.154. However the charts are beginning to inform a unique story.
Between December 18 and February 24, XLM printed a decrease low whereas the Relative Power Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, fashioned a better low, a normal bullish divergence. This can be a textbook reversal sign, and it has a latest precedent. An analogous setup appeared round February 11, after which Stellar rallied roughly 23% earlier than correcting.
XLM Value Construction: TradingView
If the present divergence performs out heading into March, the primary hurdle sits at $0.164, a degree that has flipped between assist and resistance a number of instances. Clearing it opens the trail towards $0.185 (the place the final rally stopped) after which $0.210, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and would mark the primary actual structural shift in months. A transfer past that places $0.230 in play.
On the draw back, failure to reclaim $0.164 retains Stellar range-bound. A break beneath $0.136 invalidates the reversal thesis.
With RWA adoption accelerating and institutional infrastructure now stay, Stellar (XLM) stands out as a real-world asset token to observe in March. The basics are constructing. The divergence suggests the value could also be on the brink of catch up.
Chainlink (LINK)
Chainlink continues to guide as oracle infrastructure for the tokenized asset financial system, and its spot ETF efficiency is reinforcing that positioning. Whereas Bitcoin ETFs have suffered by means of practically six consecutive weeks of web outflows, Chainlink has not recorded a single purple week since its ETFs launched.
That sort of consistency in a risk-off atmosphere is uncommon throughout the RWA sector and indicators regular institutional-grade demand at the same time as broader crypto sentiment deteriorates.
On the charts, LINK is forming an inverse head and shoulders sample on the 12-hour timeframe, a construction that carries roughly 35% breakout potential if the neckline breaks.
Nevertheless, the neckline slopes downward, which suggests a clear 12-hour break above $9.00 is required to set off the transfer. Chainlink already examined this degree between February 19 and 21 whereas rebounding from the fitting shoulder, nevertheless it failed at $9.00 and pulled again. That rejection makes the neckline much more vital. A confirmed every day shut above it will be a robust sign, each technically and by way of sentiment.
If LINK reclaims $9.00, the breakout path opens towards $11.30, which aligns with the measured transfer from the sample. A key resistance may nonetheless halt the possible rally at $10.00.
On the draw back, dropping $8.00 weakens the construction. A decisive break beneath $7.20 totally invalidates the inverse head and shoulders and shifts the bias bearish.
With on-chain adoption increasing throughout tokenized securities and cross-chain interoperability, and ETF flows exhibiting no indicators of fading, Chainlink stays one of many stronger RWA tokens to observe heading into March. The failed neckline check makes the subsequent try crucial. If $9.00 breaks, the setup may ship one of many cleaner strikes within the real-world asset house this quarter.
Ondo Finance (ONDO)
Ondo Finance stays one of many largest tokenized asset platforms within the real-world asset sector, with greater than $2.5 billion in complete worth locked. Regardless of that progress, the ONDO token has not stored tempo. Since reaching its all-time excessive of $2.14 in December 2024, ONDO has declined greater than 80% and now trades at $0.25. That disconnect makes it probably the most closely discounted real-world asset tokens relative to its underlying platform enlargement.
A possible shift is now showing on the technical aspect. Between January 25 and February 24, ONDO fashioned a decrease low whereas the Relative Power Index printed a better low. This creates a normal bullish divergence, a basic early-reversal sign, the identical as XLM mentioned earlier.
On-chain information reinforces that sign. Trade inflows dropped sharply after February 24, falling from 42.91 million ONDO to simply 4.54 million. That represents an roughly 89% decline in tokens transferring to exchanges, presumably for promoting.
When change inflows collapse proper as a divergence sign types, it means that promoting strain behind the downtrend is fading.
Wanting forward, the primary key degree sits at $0.26. Holding and breaking above this degree would verify short-term energy and open the trail towards $0.30, which has acted as repeated resistance in latest weeks.
A profitable reclaim of $0.30 would strengthen the reversal construction and permit for a transfer towards $0.36. A transfer to $0.30 would signify roughly 19% upside from present costs.
On the draw back, assist rests at $0.23. Shedding that degree would enhance the danger of one other leg decrease towards $0.20. This degree stays an important structural flooring. A break beneath $0.20 would weaken the early reversal thesis and make sure that the longer-term downtrend continues to be in management.
