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FTSE 250 funding supervisor Aberdeen’s (LSE: ABDN) present dividend yield is 7.1%. That is derived from its 2024 dividend of 14.6p and its current share worth of £2.06.
As such, it’s a cornerstone of my dividend earnings portfolio. This has been designed to ship a excessive dividend earnings that I can use in retirement to have extra enjoyable than the State Pension would possibly enable.
After all, dividend yields change as a inventory’s worth and/or its annual dividend payout alters.
So, what’s the outlook for Aberdeen’s?
Historical past repeating?
They do say that previous efficiency isn’t any information to future returns, which is true. However it may possibly present some helpful context.
In Aberdeen’s case, the agency has paid the identical 14.6p dividend yearly since 2020. This has traditionally been break up into two funds of seven.3p.
The agency has already introduced its first interim dividend this yr, of seven.3p. And the consensus view of analysts is that it’s going to once more pay a complete of 14.6p this yr.
Furthermore, they predict that it’s going to pay the identical quantity in 2026 and 2027 too.
So, based mostly on the identical common share worth as now, the dividend yield would stay at 7.1%.
Very good, for my part. Why? As a result of firstly, it’s way more than the FTSE 250 and FTSE 100 averages (3.5% and three.1%, respectively).
And secondly, it’s way more than the 4.4% present ‘risk-free rate’ (10-year Gilt yield) as effectively. This successfully signifies that I’m being effectively compensated for taking the additional danger concerned in investing in shares.
Does the enterprise look strong?
Aberdeen has been reorganising itself because it was demoted from the FTSE 100 in 2023. This has centred on value discount (primarily via lowering center administration) and bettering the product providing.
Up to now, this appears to have gone very effectively. By the tip of 2023, it had already exceeded its preliminary £75m cost-cutting goal in its Investments division. The general £150m goal is anticipated to be achieved by the tip of this yr.
In the meantime, its Interactive Investor enterprise noticed document internet inflows and 25% revenue development in H1 2025. Its Adviser enterprise has additionally seen internet inflows enhance, though profitability dipped just lately on account of repricing. This was achieved to enhance its competitiveness in a crowded market.
A danger right here is that such elevated competitors to cut back its margins additional.
Nonetheless, Aberdeen’s full-year 2024 outcomes, launched on 4 March this yr, noticed an IFRS revenue of £251m. Final yr, it was a £6m loss. Its Q3 buying and selling replace confirmed property beneath administration rose 6% to £542.4bn.
The agency additionally reiterated its 2026 targets of £300m+ adjusted working revenue, and round £300m in internet capital era.
Massive dividend earnings positive aspects
Given the present 7.1% dividend yield and ‘dividend compounding’, one other £5,000 invested would make me £5,149 in dividends after 10 years.
After 30 years on the identical foundation, this might rise to £36,811.
Including within the preliminary £5,000 funding and the entire worth of the holding can be £41,811.
This is able to pay me an annual dividend earnings of £2,969 by that stage! However after all, this isn’t assured.
Given this, and the basic soundness of the enterprise as I see it, I’ll purchase extra of the inventory shortly.
Different high-yield shares have additionally caught my eye in latest days.
