Crypto Information of the Day: Max Keiser Explains Why the MSCI MSTR Cap Isn’t What It Appears
Bitcoin’s muted response to MSCI’s current index choice has sparked a debate amongst traders, analysts, and crypto commentators over whether or not the market is structurally constrained or quietly manipulated.
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The most recent adjustments to MSCI’s therapy of crypto-heavy treasury corporations, equivalent to MicroStrategy (MSTR), have eliminated a key supply of passive shopping for. But, distinguished voices like Max Keiser insist the affect could also be overstated.
MSCI will now not embody newly issued shares from corporations equivalent to MSTR in its indexes. Beforehand, giant index funds have been mechanically required to buy these shares, creating constant shopping for strain.
Below the brand new guidelines, that computerized demand disappears, decreasing dilution-driven capital inflows and muting short-term market reactions.
Nevertheless, Bitcoin pioneerMax Keiser dismissed the MSCI cap, mentioning that pressured shopping for nonetheless happens when MSTR inventory rises in tandem with Bitcoin.
“The cap by MSCI to exclude new MSTR shares in its weighting is a nothing burger. Forced buying is still triggered when Bitcoin-heavy MSTR stock price increases,” Keiser assured.
Whereas this implies that the reflexive upside shouldn’t be fully useless, the dampening impact on computerized index-driven flows can’t be ignored.
Market Suppression Considerations
Towards this backdrop, analysts warn that MSCI’s new guidelines freeze potential upside with out explicitly banning MSTR.
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Sure as much as their outdated methods.
Sure MSTR is allowed to remain within the MSCI index however underneath the floor video games are nonetheless being performed to suppress Bitcoin and digital belongings. MSCI’s transfer exposes how the established order nonetheless quietly works to suppress Bitcoin and digital belongings. By freezing…
— James E. Thorne (@DrJStrategy) January 7, 2026
By limiting passive flows, the change slows the expansion of Bitcoin-backed company inventory and illustrates TradFi’s broader warning towards crypto adoption.
Whereas this may increasingly delay Technique’s S&P 500 inclusion this yr, it’s nonetheless anticipated to outperform the index, albeit in opposition to resistance from entrenched monetary powers.
“I think it’s clear that Strategy are going to have to win the hard way…I still expect it to outperform the S&P 500 this year greatly, but the powers that be will not make it easy,” mentioned analyst Zynx.
Regardless of these constraints, Technique continues to show capital power. Adam Livingston highlighted that MSTR lately gained $3.7 billion in premium, leveraging SCALE and mNAV mechanics to effectively elevate capital, enhance Bitcoin per share, and strengthen greenback liquidity.
Similar to that, the market rewards MSTR with $3.7 billion in premium.
1.0 mNAV yesterday to 1.06 at present.
This is among the advantages of SCALE, large quantities of capital elevating attainable with small % swings.
This will instantly be used to extend Bitcoin per share for MSTR… pic.twitter.com/mOYpAlEqpB
— Adam Livingston (@AdamBLiv) January 7, 2026
Even modest mNAV actions are enabling strategic development, reflecting the corporate’s resilience.
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MSCI Index Transfer Spurs Accusations of Bitcoin Market Manipulation by Establishments
A number of commentators have painted the sequence of occasions as a coordinated Wall Road cycle. Quinten Francois, Ash Crypto, and The Crypto Room word that MSCI’s October threats, three months of suppressed costs, Morgan Stanley’s ETF filings, and the sudden MSCI reversal all align with a sample:
- Create worry
- Induce capitulation
- Accumulate cheaply, and
- Revenue as soon as the overhang is eliminated.
🚨 THIS IS HOW WALL STREET STEALS YOUR COINS 🚨
1. MSCI threatens index removals
→ Crypto sells off arduous and stays suppressed for months
2. JP Morgan spreads recycled FUD on Saylor and MSTR
→ Margin necessities raised to 95%
→ Stress to maintain MSTR out of the S&P
3. BTC…
— Quinten | 048.eth (@QuintenFrancois) January 8, 2026
They spotlight potential ties between MSCI (initially a Morgan Stanley division) and JP Morgan, suggesting collusion in spreading FUD and managing publicity.
Regardless of short-term constraints, long-term optimism stays robust. Tim Draper emphasizes 2026 as a breakout yr for Bitcoin adoption.
2026 will probably be large. #Bitcoin goes mainstream. My $250k prediction lastly reached. IPO window opens with a $trillion firm. Area flight to the moon for passengers. Bio-Cures drive longer lives. Autonomous automobiles transfer us across the roads and within the air. Wonderful! Superior!…
— Tim Draper (@TimDraper) January 7, 2026
Institutional accumulation and mainstream adoption are anticipated to maintain eventual upside, whilst index mechanics reasonable short-term flows.
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Chart of the Day
Bitcoin (BTC) Value Efficiency. Supply: TradingView
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Crypto Equities Pre-Market Overview
FirmShut As of January 7Pre-Market OverviewTechnique (MSTR)$161.83$160.36 (-0.91%)Coinbase (COIN)$245.93$247.55 (+0.66%)Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY)$25.51$25.16 (-1.37%)MARA Holdings (MARA)$10.09$9.96 (-1.24%)Riot Platforms (RIOT)$15.27$15.08 (-1.24%)Core Scientific (CORZ)$16.24$16.14 (-0.62%)Crypto equities market open race: Google Finance
