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Reading: ‘Low-hire, low-fire’ financial system grinds on as lower-than-expected jobless claims suggests layoffs aren’t spiking | Fortune
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Asolica > Blog > Business > ‘Low-hire, low-fire’ financial system grinds on as lower-than-expected jobless claims suggests layoffs aren’t spiking | Fortune
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‘Low-hire, low-fire’ financial system grinds on as lower-than-expected jobless claims suggests layoffs aren’t spiking | Fortune

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Last updated: November 26, 2025 9:39 pm
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3 months ago
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‘Low-hire, low-fire’ financial system grinds on as lower-than-expected jobless claims suggests layoffs aren’t spiking | Fortune
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The variety of People making use of for unemployment advantages declined final week in an indication that total layoffs stay low, at the same time as a number of high-profile corporations have introduced job cuts.

U.S. purposes for unemployment advantages within the week ending Nov. 22 dropped 6,000 from the earlier week to 216,000, the Labor Division reported Wednesday. The determine is under the 230,000 forecast by economists, in accordance with a survey by knowledge supplier FactSet.

Functions for unemployment help are seen as a proxy for layoffs and are near a real-time indicator of the well being of the job market. The job cuts introduced not too long ago by massive corporations equivalent to UPS and Amazon sometimes take weeks or months to completely implement and will not but be mirrored within the claims knowledge.

The four-week common of claims, which softens a number of the week-to-week volatility, dropped 1,000 to 223,750.

For now, the U.S. job market seems caught in a “low-hire, low-fire” state that has stored the unemployment price traditionally low, however has left these out of labor struggling to discover a new job.

The overall variety of People submitting for jobless advantages for the week ending Nov. 15 rose 7,000 to 1.96 million, the federal government mentioned. The rise is an indication that the unemployed are taking longer to search out new work.

Final week, the federal government mentioned that hiring picked up a bit in September, when employers added 119,000 new jobs. But the report additionally confirmed employers had shed jobs in August. And the unemployment price ticked as much as 4.4%, its highest degree in 4 years, as extra People got here off the sidelines to search for work however didn’t all instantly discover jobs.

On Tuesday, the federal government reported that retail gross sales slowed in September after three months of wholesome will increase. Client confidence plunged to its second-lowest degree in 5 years, whereas wholesale inflation eased a bit.

The info means that each the financial system and inflation are slowing, which boosted monetary markets’ expectations that the Federal Reserve will scale back its key rate of interest at its subsequent assembly Dec. 9-10.

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