ASTER’s latest itemizing on Binance has pulled the token again into the highlight. Whereas the ASTER worth briefly cooled to beneath $2 after robust good points, large-holder exercise and strengthening indicators counsel the story is way from over.
The short-term knowledge factors to a tug-of-war between liquidity positioning and real promoting, but when the bulls are proper, leaving ASTER now may not be the most effective determination ever. Extra in order it’s mere 17% south of its latest all-time excessive.
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Mega Whales Accumulate
On-chain knowledge exhibits ASTER’s greatest holders are quietly strengthening their grip.
The highest 100 addresses — or “mega whales” — now maintain about 7.84 billion ASTER, up 1.76% in 24 hours. That’s roughly 134 million ASTER, price round $264 million at present costs.
In the meantime, public-figure wallets have additionally grown their holdings by 5.34%, including about 236,000 ASTER (virtually $465,000).
ASTER Holding Sample: Nansen
In distinction, smart-money wallets diminished publicity by almost 70%, whereas whales trimmed holdings by 9.97%, promoting about 7.5 million ASTER ( near $15 million).
Change balances have surged 59.6% to 625 million ASTER, which might seem like heavy promoting — however that is likely to be deceptive. Given Binance’s new itemizing, a part of this bounce may very well be liquidity repositioning.
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Supporting that, the Cash Circulate Index (MFI) — which measures shopping for and promoting strain based mostly on worth and quantity — is trending upward.
ASTER MFI Nonetheless Trending Greater: TradingView
If these inflows have been really sell-driven, MFI would have dropped. As a substitute, it’s rising towards 65, signaling that cash remains to be flowing into ASTER.
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The Bull-Bear Energy (BBP) indicator backs this up. BBP compares shopping for and promoting momentum; when it’s inexperienced, bulls dominate. Since October 5, BBP bars have turned constructive, displaying renewed energy.
ASTER Bulls In Energy: TradingView
These two readings collectively counsel the so-called “selling pressure” is likely to be a liquidity mirage, not a pattern reversal.
Hidden Bullish Divergence Retains ASTER Value Uptrend Intact
The 12-hour chart exhibits ASTER buying and selling inside an ascending triangle (with the ascending trendline appearing as assist), a construction that normally favors patrons.
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Between September 30 and October 5, the Relative Power Index (RSI) — which tracks market momentum — made a decrease low, whereas costs made the next low. That is referred to as a hidden bullish divergence, a sample that usually confirms the continuation of an uptrend courtesy of fading promoting strain.
ASTER Value Evaluation: TradingView
Key resistance sits at $2.04, $2.27, and $2.43 (ASTER’s all-time excessive). A 12-hour candle shut above $2.27 would verify breakout energy and will open the door to a brand new excessive above $2.43.
Nevertheless, if the ASTER worth dips beneath $1.77 after which beneath $1.66, thereby breaching the triangle on the draw back, the bullish speculation would get invalidated.
So long as RSI stays above 50 and BBP stays constructive, bulls maintain the sting. For now, ASTER’s worth motion tells a easy story: the massive holders haven’t left the desk — and neither ought to the market’s consideration.
