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Reading: The Supreme Courtroom’s bombshell tariff ruling didn’t reply a $200 billion query over refunds: Now what? | Fortune
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Asolica > Blog > Business > The Supreme Courtroom’s bombshell tariff ruling didn’t reply a $200 billion query over refunds: Now what? | Fortune
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The Supreme Courtroom’s bombshell tariff ruling didn’t reply a $200 billion query over refunds: Now what? | Fortune

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Last updated: February 20, 2026 9:07 pm
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5 hours ago
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The Supreme Courtroom’s bombshell tariff ruling didn’t reply a 0 billion query over refunds: Now what? | Fortune
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The Supreme Courtroom made clear on Friday that President Donald Trump lacks the authorized authority to make use of his emergency powers to drive U.S. firms to pay tariffs. In its 6-3 choice, the court docket delivered an enormous setback to the White Home however, in a shock to authorized observers, it failed to handle the query that’s prime of thoughts for a lot of corporations: Will they be capable of recoup the cash, estimated at round $133 billion, they’ve already paid below a coverage that has now been dominated unlawful? In keeping with commerce legal professionals, the Supreme Courtroom majority’s silence on the refund course of—which dissenting Justices Brett Kavanaugh predicted is prone to be “a mess”—means firms should now wait months to study whether or not they’ll get their a reimbursement.

Within the court docket’s long-awaiting choice, Chief Justice John Roberts dominated that Trump couldn’t impose emergency levies—like those that imposed 25% duties on Canada and Mexico—for the reason that tariffs amounted to a form of tax that solely Congress had the ability to impose. This upheld the rulings of decrease courts, which discovered the tariffs to be unlawful, however allowed them to remain in place till the Supreme Courtroom weighed in on the matter.

In keeping with Jeff Harvey, a Texas-based commerce lawyer at Bradley, the court docket’s silence on the refund problem was surprising because it had come up explicitly at oral arguments—the place Justice Amy Coney Barrett first referred to the potential for a “mess”—and in decrease court docket proceedings.

“I was surprised since it was something previously raised by the Court of International Trade,” stated Harvey, referring to the court docket whose preliminary ruling the Trump Administration challenged.

The upshot is that the refund problem is poised to return to the Worldwide Commerce Courtroom, the place the end result is way from clear. In keeping with Harvey, authorities legal professionals initially recommended to the court docket that the White Home wouldn’t object to firms with the ability to gather a full refund. Since then, nevertheless, figures within the Administration have signaled they might change their place—not least as a result of repaying the total quantity of the tariffs can be an enormous blow to the Treasury.

Harvey added that, if the commerce court docket orders the U.S. Customs and Border Company to repay the tariffs, the Trump Administration might problem that ruling, setting off one other potential authorized battle that might find yourself again Supreme Courtroom.

The upshot is that firms will very possible have to attend months to get any refund. Worse, commerce legal professionals say the Customs company is predicted to maintain gathering the emergency tariffs for the approaching days or perhaps weeks for the reason that President’s Govt Order will stay in drive till the commerce court docket points a proper injunction to cease it—a course of that might take weeks and that is also topic to extra challenges from the White Home.

When the mud lastly settles, although, some firms—notably Costco—might be higher poised than others to gather any refunds owed.

Costco’s early problem might repay

The method of tariff assortment is an arcane one and entails firms paying a preliminary quantity primarily based on present import duties which can be set out in tips up to date by the White Home. However on condition that many imported items include elements from a couple of nation, it’s not at all times clear how a lot an organization should pay. In the meantime, President Trump’s quickly shifting tariff charges imply an organization might pay an excessive amount of or too little on a given cargo.

In gentle of those uncertainties, there’s a 310 day interval throughout which the U.S. Customs company can modify the quantities owed or declare the quantity to be remaining. Sometimes, Customs wants a lot lower than the utmost allotted time after which prepares to “liquidate” the stability collected. As soon as the company is poised to liquidate, nevertheless, firms have a 180 attraction interval to problem the ultimate quantity it has imposed.

All of this led Costco to file a preliminary lawsuit in December, asking the court docket to protect its rights to a refund within the occasion the Supreme Courtroom dominated the tariffs unlawful, and earlier than Customs might liquidate the quantity it had already collected.

In keeping with Lizbeth Levinson, an lawyer with Fox Rothschild, this can be a savvy technique on the a part of Costco, and one which has since been imitated by over 1000 different firms. Levinson says Costco’s petition means that it’ll permit the corporate to cease Customs from declaring it can’t pay a part of a refund on the grounds the funds in query have been already liquidated.

In keeping with Levinson and different commerce legal professionals, there’s a very actual risk that Customs will search to keep away from full reimbursement of the wrongfully-collected tariffs, partly due to strain from the White Home, which is worried that such a transfer might be a fiscal disaster.

In the meantime, whilst legal professionals scramble to find out the refund course of for the emergency tariffs, which the White Home imposed below a legislation generally known as the Worldwide Emergency Financial Powers Act (IEEPA), firms’ tariff complications are removed from over. President Trump has for months signaled that, within the occasion of an antagonistic Supreme Courtroom ruling, he would search to re-impose the tariffs below different legal guidelines, although as legal professionals have famous, the method for doing so is slower. On Friday, in response to the court docket’s choice, Trump declared he would impose a brand new 10% “global tariff” whereas saying the Justices who wrote the bulk ruling ought to be “ashamed.”

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