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CAROLINE WOODS: So how a lot does it need to fall to be at a value that is smart to you?
CARLEY GARNER: I will throw some sort of stunning numbers on the market. However gold just isn’t the sort of market that appropriate 5% or 10% When gold goes into correction. It is 45, 50% Within the 80s, we noticed 70% plus correction. Gold is a really increase or bust commodity. In case you have a look at gold. Let’s simply take since 2011 by right now. Gold has gone up on common 6% a yr. However nearly all of these positive aspects have occurred in about three years out of the final 15. So in the event you take away the actually huge dramatic positive aspects like we have seen within the final couple of years in gold, it truly hasn’t carried out all that nice. So it is a market that must be timed effectively until your holding interval is a number of a long time, not years or months. OK, so we will see a extremely enormous downturn with 40, 50% probably. If gold behaves the way in which that it has prior to now, we may simply see 2000 once more in gold. I do know that sounds nearly not possible to most individuals, however that is how gold behaves. And that might be principally taking again this complete rally and ranging from scratch the place it broke out. And consider it or not, I believe that isn’t simply prop, not simply potential, however possible.