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Asolica > Blog > Finance > Veteran analyst revisits Ford inventory worth after earnings
Finance

Veteran analyst revisits Ford inventory worth after earnings

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Last updated: October 30, 2025 12:11 am
Admin
1 month ago
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Veteran analyst revisits Ford inventory worth after earnings
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Ford shares have been on fireplace since final week’s earnings launch as the corporate continues its record-setting tempo in 2025.

Contents
    • Ford whole U.S. gross sales by 12 months:
  • Ford’s steadiness sheet offers sturdy basis for future development
  • Ford Mannequin e continues to lose large bucks

Shares are up practically 7% over the previous 5 classes, due to the top- and bottom-line beats, but it surely wasn’t all excellent news within the third quarter on the Blue Oval.

Ford whole U.S. gross sales by 12 months:

  • 2024: 2.08 million automobiles bought, +4.2%
  • 2023: 1.99 million automobiles bought, +7.1%
  • 2022: 1.77 million automobiles bought, -2.2%
  • 2021: 1.9 million automobiles bought, -6.8%

Ford Mannequin e, the corporate’s electrical car division, had its finest month of gross sales ever as patrons flocked to dealerships to benefit from the $7,500 EV tax credit score that expired in September.

Regardless of these gross sales, Mannequin e misplaced $1.4 billion on account of spending on new merchandise and elevated competitors, in response to Ford.

However general, the corporate’s quarter was sufficient for a veteran analyst to lift his worth goal on the corporate.


Ford Mannequin e misplaced $1.4 billion within the third quarter.

Ford’s steadiness sheet offers sturdy basis for future development

Ford reported earnings of 45 cents per share within the third quarter on file income of $50.5 billion, a 9.3% year-over-year improve. Analysts had been anticipating earnings of 38 cents per share.

Web revenue of $2.4 billion is greater than double the $900 million it reported a 12 months in the past.

Ford’s steadiness sheet impressed Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle, president of Sarge986 and contributor to TheStreet.

Ford reported a money steadiness of $32.7 billion, which turns into $37.9 billion if longer-term investments are included. Ford has 1.056 billion in short-term borrowings on its books and $17.096 billion in long-term debt.

“These numbers are actually outstanding for a large industrial corporation that often struggles with having to carry large inventories and dealing with expensive labor issues,” Guilfoyle stated.

He raised his worth goal to $16 per share from $12 per share.

Guilfoyle notes that the $1 billion tariff headwind the corporate faces will weigh on its backside line, however famous that the worth tag is half of what Ford had beforehand projected.

Ford additionally lowered its projected full-year adjusted EBIT expectation to between $6 billion and $6.5 billion, down from its earlier view between $6.5 billion and $7.5 billion.

Ford Mannequin e continues to lose large bucks

Coming into the 12 months, Ford anticipated Mannequin e to lose about $5 billion, and the nice emotions about EV adoption have dissipated below the brand new presidential administration.

In response to J.D. Energy, electrical automobiles are on tempo to exceed 12% market share within the U.S. for the primary time, following a 2.6% year-over-year improve.

However due to each personal and authorities funding, China and Europe have the underlying infrastructure (i.e., charging stations) to help market shares that dwarf these of the U.S. 

Nonetheless, Ford has already outlined a multibillion-dollar technique that can assist it pivot as emissions guidelines are relaxed and the corporate not has to purchase emissions credit from rivals corresponding to Tesla.

That technique features a slower electrical rollout and a better concentrate on hybrids. Looser emission requirements might additionally elevate gross sales for Ford’s conventional inside combustion engine automobiles.

Because it already has a plan for 2 regulatory realities, Jefferies analysts say Ford is best ready for any potential modifications than its rival Common Motors.

Associated: Ford CEO Jim Farley targets main downside with its vehicles

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TAGGED:AnalystearningsFordPricerevisitsStockVeteran
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